Murder Mystery Murderer/Sheriff Chances

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luisg2YT

luisg2YT

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Here Is The List Of Chances:

(Pls Pin Me)


(1 Murderer Rounds) (These Are Chances Getting Either Murder Or Sheriff Each Round)

1 Player: 100%
2 Players: 100%
3 Players: 66%
4 Players: 50%
5 Players: 40%
6 Players: 33%
7 Players: 28.57%
8 Players: 25%
9 Players: 22.22%
10 Players: 20%
11 Players: 18.18%
12 Players: 16.66%
13 Players: 15.38%
14 Players: 14.28%
15 Players: 13.33%
16 Players: 12.5%
17 Players: 11.76%
18 Players: 11.11%
19 Players: 10.52%
20 Players: 10%
21 Players: 9.52%
22 Players: 9.09%
23 Players: 8.69%
24 Players: 8.33%

(2 Murderer Rounds)

1 Player: 100%
2 Players: 100%
3 Players: 100%
4 Players: 75%
5 Players: 60%
6 Players: 50%
7 Players: 42.85%
8 Players: 37.5%
9 Players: 33%
10 Players: 30%
11 Players: 27.27%
12 Players: 25%
13 Players: 23.07%
14 Players: 21.42%
15 Players: 20%
16 Players: 18.75%
17 Players: 17.64%
18 Players: 16.66%
19 Players: 15.78%
20 Players: 15%
21 Players: 14.28%
22 Players: 13.36%
23 Players: 13.04%
24 Players: 12.5%
 
Did you anticipate these chances or you relied on something ?
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im pretty sure that it is randomly picked, not, mathematically picks, although you might be right...
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It’s random, I’ve gotten murd 3 times in a row and I hadn’t played any other game that day so my percentage didn’t increase
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i got it 19 times in a row
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Out of 179 24 person single murderer matches I recorded, there was a 6.7% chance to be the murderer, a 4.5% chance to be sheriff, and an 88.8% chance to be innocent.
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It’s clear there are no percentages if someone can get murd 5 times in a row. It’s random, thats a fact
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As there may be a base % chance there is mostly just luck. I can agree with Luis that it's the same for everyone, even still please don't turn this into a dispute (not saying you are). Also, Luis please try to refer to something before mentioning your conclusion as people prefer you go of off true information over a guess or opinion.

I love the way you made the system and I do think it is very helpful. But, please refer to true statistics. <3
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ik this a old thread but the % are correct as:
every game with 24 players (1 murd)
there will be 2 players who are not inno and 22 players will be inno
in % it looks like: 8.33% of players in that game will be murd or sherrif and the rest (91.67%) of players will be inno
this means that in this game your chance of being murd or sherrif is 8.33%
hope this helps :mrgreen:
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Whitepanda3 said:
ik this a old thread but the % are correct as:
every game with 24 players (1 murd)
there will be 2 players who are not inno and 22 players will be inno
in % it looks like: 8.33% of players in that game will be murd or sherrif and the rest (91.67%) of players will be inno
this means that in this game your chance of being murd or sherrif is 8.33%
hope this helps :mrgreen:
Click to expand...
Its The Average Percentage
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